╨╧рб▒с>■  7■   ■   6                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 F═╔Ас░┴т\p Paine B░a└=Ьп╝=╦ю/W08X@Н"╖┌1╚ РArial1╚ РArial1╚ РArial1╚ РArial1@ ╝Arial1╚ ╝Arial1 РArial1Ё РArial1 ╝Arial1Ё ╝Arial1╚ РArial1╚ РArial1╚$РArial1@ РArial1а РArial"г"#,##0;\-"г"#,##0"г"#,##0;[Red]\-"г"#,##0"г"#,##0.00;\-"г"#,##0.00#"г"#,##0.00;[Red]\-"г"#,##0.005*0_-"г"* #,##0_-;\-"г"* #,##0_-;_-"г"* "-"_-;_-@_-,)'_-* #,##0_-;\-* #,##0_-;_-* "-"_-;_-@_-=,8_-"г"* #,##0.00_-;\-"г"* #,##0.00_-;_-"г"* "-"??_-;_-@_-4+/_-* #,##0.00_-;\-* #,##0.00_-;_-* "-"??_-;_-@_-рї  └ рї  Ї└ рї  Ї└ рї  Ї└ рї  Ї└ рї  Ї└ рї  Ї└ рї  Ї└ рї  Ї└ рї  Ї└ рї  Ї└ рї  Ї└ рї  Ї└ рї  Ї└ рї  Ї└ р └ р+ї  °└ р)ї  °└ р,ї  °└ р*ї  °└ р Ї Ї└ р Ї Ї└ р ї  °└ р └ р └ р └ р  └ р  └ р(└ р!└ р └ р └ р  └ р (└ р  ( └ р  (@ └ р (8 @ └ р (8 @└ р  h@  р (x@  р  h@ @  р (x@@  р (x@  р (x@ @  р (x@ @ р (x@@ р  h @  р  h@@  р  h @ р  h@@ р(x@  р(x@@  р (8 └ р `@@  р `@@ р └ р (└ р(p@  р(p@  р(p@ р(└ р )└ р)└ р  8 └ р 0@ └ р  8 @ └ р 0@ @ └ р (8 @ └ р (8 @└ р 0@ @└ р (└ р Q └ рQ!└ УА УА УА УА УА  УА УА УА `Е¤*Sheet1ЕЖHSheet2ЕНISheet3М,┴┴А8№`3Occurred during:For each column, please choose: the low end of the range; the high end; a phrase or phrases describing the range; dates that such behaviour occurred in the UK or elsewhere (this is so I can generate stories containing historical comparisons, and also take examples from those times - please name the country if not the UK); the types of people most likely to be harmed by the economic conditions; the types most likely to benefit from them; some characteristic social behaviours that might be typical of the range (e.g. cafes daily updating price lists; earners cashing their wages and spending them as soon as they've got them, rather than trying to save. I have in mind something like the "typical behaviour=strong winds: chimney pots shake, smoke billows horizontally" that you see on the Beaufort scale for winds); some phrases of praise (if any) that might be used of the economy or Government (e.g. "a stable г") and the people most likely to utter them; and some phrases of criticism (if any) and the people most likely to utter them. ыPlease type the text of the story into the "Text of story" field. If you want, the text could just be a headline - e.g. "Head of CBI calls for Chancellor to resign as unemployment rockets out of control". Then try to define the economic circumstances in which it could happen. Pick the smallest values of inflation, unemployment and growth at which it seems likely.Call these (Ilow,Ulow,Glow) and type them into the Low Corner cell as you did in section (4). Now pick the highest values of inflation, unemployment and growth at which it seems likely.Call these (Ihigh,Uhigh,Ghigh) and type them into the High Corner cell. Finally, if this is a story that has actually happened, please give the dates at which it did, and the country if not the UK.шNow I want to collect some interesting news stories that relate to various economic conditions. Please think of a possible or actual news story that relates to the economy. It could be anything: families pushing their worthless notes round in wheelbarrows; happy yuppies splashing out on champagne-filled second swimming pools; neo-Punk pop songs railing against the ten million out of work; the perils of negative equity; stressed doctors dispensing sedatives to the stressed unemployed; the Shadow Chancellor actually praising the real Chancellor because of the age of plenty ushered in by the pound's unusual stability; or the vitriolic abuse hurled at the Chancellor by CBI, unions and Opposition alike as unemployment spirals upward, ever upward. For Virtual Mail, I am particularly interested in: amusing words of praise and blame that give the user immediate response to his actions - words put into the mouths of workers, MPs, business leaders, financial correspondents, cooks, estate agents, pop stars or anyone else; stories that make concrete the effects of the economic circumstances predicted by VE; stories that exemplify the "costs" of inflation or unemployment or growth in Level 2 of the VE documentation; and advice on corrective action. VIRTUAL MAIL STORY TEMPLATES<1. Defining the boundaries of the macroeconomic state space. Inflation UnemploymentGrowthMinMaxC2. Defining impossible regions of the state space inside this cube.Inaccessible cube 1Inaccessible cube 2Inaccessible cube 3LowHighIminImaxName-Groups or types of people likely to be harmed+Groups or types of people likely to benefitTypical behavioursPhrases of praisePhrases of criticism Highest range Lowest range(Now please do the same for unemployment.And for growth.GminGmaxUmaxUminRegion 1Region 7 Low corner High corner3. Naming ranges on the axes.*4. Naming regions in the state-space cube.-5. Attaching stories to economic conditions. Text of storyвIt's quite likely that some of the points within this cube will not be possible, for example one which has both a high growth G and a high unemployment U. We can approximate this by imagining the inaccessible regions as smaller cubes within it. If you think there are such regions, I would like you to define them in the tables below. Please use one table for each, and copy and paste to make more tables if necesary.eIn English, we use phrases such as "hyperinflation", "high unemployment", "full employment", "low growth" to name a range of values for each variable. I need a set of such phrases for each variable I, U, G so that, given a value for it by VE, I can translate that into English. The first table below does this for inflation. Each column corresponds to a range: for example, "0 to 10%". I would like you to divide the inflation axis into ranges such that (as far as possible) each range has a simple name such as "hyperinflation" or "low inflation", and gives rise to its own characteristic social behaviour. I have divided the line into seven ranges: if you prefer fewer, please leave a column blank; if you prefer more, copy and paste one. (The fewer ranges there are, the easier it is for me to write the story generator, but the less discriminating are the results.)╩In the last section, I talked about only one variable at a time. Knowing the names for one-dimensional ranges is necessary. However, it may be that some kinds of macroeconomic behaviour - e.g. recession, depression - and the social consequences arising from them, are best described as three-dimensional regions in the state space, especially if the three variables are interdependent. So what I want to do in this section is to get a feel for such regions.=I need to know the range of values that VE can produce under all possible inputs. Assume that I am only interested in inflation (I), unemployment (U), and growth (G). Then a VE output for any year can be represented as a point in 3D space with coordinates (I,U,G) where I,U,G are the values of these three variables. BI would like you to visualise a cube with its edges labelled Inflation, Unemployment and Growth, sized such that all VE outputs lie inside it and none outside. One of its corners will lie at (Imin,Umin,Gmin) where these are the minimum possible values of the three variables. The diagonally opposite corner will lie at (Imax,Umax,Gmax), where these are the maximum possible values of the variables. Please fill in values for these six quantities in the table below. Imin and Gmin will be negative, since VE permits deflation and negative growth, while Umin will presumably be 0.мPlease visualise the cube from section (1) again, with its edges labelled Inflation, Unemployment, and Growth. Now pick a phrase for a characteristic macroeconomic situation, for example "recession". Can this situation be visualised as a region inside the cube? If so, try to fit the region inside the smallest box that just encloses it. Pick whichever corner of this box has the smallest values of I, U, and G. Call these (Ilow,Ulow,Glow). Pick the diagonally opposite corner. Call its coordinates (Ihigh,Uhigh,Ghigh). Type the (Ilow,Ulow,Glow) values into the Low Corner cell for Region 1. Type the (Ihigh,Uhigh,Ghigh) values into the High Corner cell for Region 1. (The spreadsheet doesn't compute with these cells, so it doesn't matter that they contain brackets, commas, and more than one number.) That roughly defines the region. Now please treat the rest of the column as in section (3): i.e. give the region a name, historical context, and link it to social behaviours and words of praise or blame. Now, if you can, repeat with another region until the entire space of possible VE outputs has been completely divided into named regions, each with its own characteristic social behaviours.FNOTE FOR THE READER. This is my first attempt at knowledge elicitationGfor the story generator. 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